Billionaire's Competition

Make a guess and you could win prizes!
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Janos (retired)
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#1 Billionaire's Competition

Post by Janos (retired) »

I am getting close to the 1,000,000,000 total credit mark. :)


To celebrate I thought we should have a wee comp!


The winner will receive a £10 Amazon gift voucher or a donation to his/her charity of choice.

To be in-line with previous comps: the aim of the comp is to guess what the TSBT total tally will be at the instant that I add that magical 10th digit.

The rules are:

You can enter if you can post on this forum, and aren't me.
Guesses should be to the nearest whole million.
You have one guess each which you can revise as often as you want, right up to the last minute, so long as you don't steal someone else's guess.
I will use Temujin's stats to decide the winner.
My decision, however wrong, is final.

BACKGROUND: I am heading offshore so my coms may be poor and my computers will be un-manned. If the computers crash badly they will not recover.

Good luck!
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#2

Post by Silver »

My guess is 8,276 million
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#3

Post by Megacruncher »

Yay! A comp!

I'll say 8,275Million.
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#4

Post by PinkPenguin »

8.279Million :D
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#5

Post by skywalker tsbt »

8.274

Maybe will hit the "10"'s together. :D
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#6

Post by Buster Gunn »

8.288

There's always a pessimist.
Buster is my dog. Sadly, Buster is gone.
Buster is the Malamute, Obi is the Golden.

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#7

Post by Alez »

8,280 since there a penguin squatting on my guess :tongue3:
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#8

Post by Janos (retired) »

The entrants to far...

8,274 Skywalker TSBT
8,275 Megacruncher
8,276 Silver
8,279 PinkPenguin
8,280 alezevo1
8,288 Buster Gunn


Good luck!
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#9

Post by MacDitch »

The entrants so far...

8,274 Skywalker TSBT
8,275 Megacruncher
8,276 Silver
8,279 PinkPenguin
8,280 alezevo1
8,281 MacDitch
8,288 Buster Gunn
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#10

Post by Megacruncher »

I'll change mine to 8,277.
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#11

Post by Megacruncher »

Actually make that 8,278

8,274 Skywalker TSBT
8,276 Silver
8,278 Megacruncher
8,279 PinkPenguin
8,280 alezevo1
8,281 MacDitch
8,288 Buster Gunn
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#12

Post by Janos (retired) »

With a day or three to go everyone is punting out guesses in a narrow band... good luck!
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#13

Post by Megacruncher »

I should point out that I'm bunkering in anticipation of the SIMAP comp. Others may be doing likewise. :) So although the team productivity seems to have dropped overnight there will be a huge upsurge in 24 hours when saved up Collatz WUs upload along with the SIMAP ones. This correction should be well before Janos adds his extra digit.
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#14

Post by Alez »

no bunkering here :( (in fact I'm struggling to get cores over to this at all. May be a poor effort from moi until I can get home to physically suspend or abort units :evil: )
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#15

Post by Silver »

Megacruncher wrote:I should point out that I'm bunkering in anticipation of the SIMAP comp. Others may be doing likewise. :) So although the team productivity seems to have dropped overnight there will be a huge upsurge in 24 hours when saved up Collatz WUs upload along with the SIMAP ones. This correction should be well before Janos adds his extra digit.
I'm certainly trying to get some SIMAP units stockpiled ready for tomorrow morning, fingers crossed I've worked it out right!
I'm with Mega on this one - My guess is that it shouldn't really make much difference to our total other than a days delay in gaining the credit so I'm sticking with my guess at the moment.
I would say good luck chaps but i'd like to win this ;-)
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#16

Post by skywalker tsbt »

\frac{d}{dt}A(t)=\frac{i}{\hbar}[H,A(t)]+\frac{\partial A(t)}{\partial t}

Lets see if my algorithm works on this. It always work for the 'guess the Jelly Beans in the jar' contest.

2.74 stands
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#17

Post by PinkPenguin »

Skywalker TSBT wrote:\frac{d}{dt}A(t)=\frac{i}{\hbar}[H,A(t)]+\frac{\partial A(t)}{\partial t}

Lets see if my algorithm works on this. It always work for the 'guess the Jelly Beans in the jar' contest.

2.74 stands
:scratch: :tongue3:
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#18

Post by Janos (retired) »

Megacruncher wrote:I should point out that I'm bunkering in anticipation of the SIMAP comp. Others may be doing likewise. :) So although the team productivity seems to have dropped overnight there will be a huge upsurge in 24 hours when saved up Collatz WUs upload along with the SIMAP ones. This correction should be well before Janos adds his extra digit.
... and what if I am bunkering? :)
Andy Manzie

#19

Post by Andy Manzie »

I will guess 8,277
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#20

Post by Janos (retired) »

Current state:

8,274 Skywalker TSBT
8,276 Silver
8,277 Andy Manzie
8,278 Megacruncher
8,279 PinkPenguin
8,280 alezevo1
8,281 MacDitch
8,288 Buster Gunn
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#21

Post by Alez »

Andy Manzie wrote:I will guess 8,277
Quality lurking !!
I figure with only 3.2 till Janos hits the target that 8,277 will be the winning number :(

and in the interest of the science contained within I demand that Mr Skywalker provides a larger version of the interesting picture on his signature :D
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#22

Post by Alez »

I think I've figured it out.... is it Pink Floyd album covers ? or at least I know 2 of them are, the rest I can't quite make out.
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#23

Post by skywalker tsbt »

Atom Heart Mother, Relics, Dark Side of the Moon, Wish you were here, the Wall and my personal favorite, Animals!!

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#24

Post by skywalker tsbt »

Big enough?
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#25

Post by Alez »

Skywalker TSBT wrote:Big enough?
A fine sight indeed.....although the division bell was my favorite :D
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#26

Post by Janos (retired) »

Skywalker TSBT wrote:\frac{d}{dt}A(t)=\frac{i}{\hbar}[H,A(t)]+\frac{\partial A(t)}{\partial t}
See http://www.codecogs.com/latex/eqneditor.php

Unfortunately our version of phpBB is old so the board code will not display a nice formula.
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#27

Post by skywalker tsbt »

Janos wrote:
Skywalker TSBT wrote:\frac{d}{dt}A(t)=\frac{i}{\hbar}[H,A(t)]+\frac{\partial A(t)}{\partial t}
It is a maths formula. See http://www.codecogs.com/latex/eqneditor.php

Unfortunately our version of phpBB is old so the board code will not display a nice formula.
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#28

Post by Megacruncher »

Just to return to topic. :roll:

Rather than distort the stats too much in the closing day of the comp I reckoned that I could upload most of the Collatz units with only a few of the Simap ones getting through (being a thousand times bigger slows them down).

So the situation is that Janos has just 2.75 M to go and the team total stands at 8,268.5M

Unless Janos is bunkering it is going to be one of the block of guesses, so no room for any jockeying for position.
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#29

Post by Janos (retired) »

Good luck guys. Unfortunately I will be in transit to the North Sea tomorrow so I won't be able to watch the magic number tick by. My coms will be non-existent all day tomorrow and very restricted for the next few weeks. Catch you on the flip side!
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#30

Post by Megacruncher »

Midnight has Struck. Janos has 2.4 M to go & the team total is 8,271.1.
Skywalker & Buster should budge up and the rest of us can only sit tight and hope we win. Good luck to everyone, especially me!
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#31

Post by Megacruncher »

Skywalker TSBT wrote:Atom Heart Mother, Relics, Dark Side of the Moon, Wish you were here, the Wall and my personal favorite, Animals!!
And was there ever a B side ever released of this? :wink:
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#32

Post by MacDitch »

Just checked in and the numbers currently are:

Janos - 998,900,727
TSBT - 8,276,215,104

So that's a little under 1.1 million to go...
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#33

Post by Silver »

I'm changing to 8,282
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#34

Post by MacDitch »

Current state:

8,274 Skywalker TSBT ##ALREADY PASSED##

8,277 Andy Manzie
8,278 Megacruncher
8,279 PinkPenguin
8,280 alezevo1
8,281 MacDitch
8,282 Silver
8,288 Buster Gunn
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#35

Post by PinkPenguin »

...Well he's onto his last milion which means sometime in the next 6-7 hours (unless, of course, he's got hidden reserves or someone else dumps a whole bunch of credits)... :D
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#36

Post by MacDitch »

The midday update had the numbers at:

Janos - 999,316,487
TSBT - 8,277,757,000

So it would look like Megacruncher or PinkPenguin will take the prize, though anything could happen!
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#37

Post by skywalker tsbt »

Well, I at least hit an extra digit today.

10,000,000!!

Should be caught up MC and Janos, oh say, by the end of the month?!!
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#38

Post by MacDitch »

Congrats Skywalker! A mighty achievement. :cheers: :hello1: :thumbright:

As of the 1pm update, the numbers were:

Janos - 999,454,943
TSBT - 8,278,248,817

Which gives us a current guess state of:

8,274 Skywalker TSBT ##ALREADY PASSED##
8,277 Andy Manzie ##ALREADY PASSED##

8,278 Megacruncher
8,279 PinkPenguin
8,280 alezevo1
8,281 MacDitch
8,282 Silver
8,288 Buster Gunn

PS. Can you tell I'm bored and avoiding real work today??!
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#39

Post by MacDitch »

Still at work, still avoiding it!

As of the 4pm update, the numbers were:

Janos - 999,737,912
TSBT - 8,279,106,377

Which gives us a current guess state of:

8,274 Skywalker TSBT ##ALREADY PASSED##
8,277 Andy Manzie ##ALREADY PASSED##
8,278 Megacruncher ##ALREADY PASSED##

8,279 PinkPenguin
8,280 alezevo1
8,281 MacDitch
8,282 Silver
8,288 Buster Gunn
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#40

Post by Alez »

just checked
janos --- 1,000,012,150
TSBT --- 8,280,472,400

and the winner is ..... :oops:
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#41

Post by Silver »

alezevo1 wrote:just checked
janos --- 1,000,012,150
TSBT --- 8,280,472,400

and the winner is ..... :oops:
Well done!! :thumbright:
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#42

Post by PinkPenguin »

I believe we have a winner... :hello1:

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#43

Post by Alez »

So I win ... again :D
I'll have to prepare my acceptance speech :D
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#44

Post by MacDitch »

Damn it! I was so close as well!

Well done Alezevo1, I look forward to the speech. :P
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#45

Post by Megacruncher »

Of course if I hadn't managed to get the GTX590 working again, after all the good guesses had been grabbed, the tally could have been 2 million fewer, in which case ....

Well done, I want a video of the speech - not just a transcript!
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#46

Post by Buster Gunn »

Congrats to both alezevo1 and janos.

Good guesser and good cruncher. :blob4: :blob5:

O0ps - Forgot Skywalker - Great job there also :blob7:
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Buster is the Malamute, Obi is the Golden.

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#47

Post by Janos (retired) »

Thanks guys and congratulations to alezevo1 for winning the comp! Congratulations also to Skywalker for passing another major milestone!

So Mr alezevo1, which chartity would you like your winnings to go to or would you like a few coins to offset your lecky bill?

Thanks for the screenshot PP. It looks strange seeing all those zeros!
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#48

Post by skywalker tsbt »

Congrat's Janos.

A club, elite, joined, you have.

:thumbup:
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#49

Post by Alez »

Janos,
When you get the time please donate my winnings to either The RAF benevolent fund, Help for Heroes or the RNLI . I'll leave the choice up to you.
thanks once again for setting up the comp and for ponying up the prize fund :)
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